Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.149679 1.337152 1.538159 1.768877 2.025521 2.301393 2.619486
2025-03-02 0.806450 1.060325 1.357731 1.727736 2.171391 2.681901 3.309143
2025-03-09 0.605044 0.892022 1.256360 1.742455 2.362845 3.116746 4.089722
2025-03-16 0.456026 0.751038 1.155033 1.729177 2.502886 3.487400 4.810370
2025-03-23 0.376541 0.683906 1.133215 1.806181 2.753689 4.003731 5.736441
2025-03-30 0.312567 0.623734 1.107364 1.867179 2.979313 4.493242 6.647906
2025-04-06 0.244691 0.540708 1.031627 1.841608 3.074090 4.804152 7.329936
2025-04-13 0.202276 0.490832 0.998009 1.871216 3.244426 5.222001 8.170185
2025-04-20 0.165411 0.441836 0.956827 1.881068 3.380971 5.593521 8.956601
2025-04-27 0.135974 0.399861 0.920286 1.891894 3.515579 5.964133 9.752007
2025-05-04 0.109799 0.357487 0.875533 1.881870 3.612911 6.279910 10.476079
2025-05-11 0.085720 0.312394 0.817487 1.840358 3.652896 6.506744 11.073630
2025-05-18 0.070403 0.285310 0.792765 1.859259 3.798839 6.910446 11.962394
2025-05-25 0.054576 0.250920 0.746613 1.832699 3.865280 7.193176 12.681158
2025-06-01 0.044722 0.230378 0.727283 1.855282 4.017388 7.617308 13.629963
2025-06-08 0.035032 0.205767 0.693569 1.844474 4.107700 7.943557 14.436464
2025-06-15 0.030978 0.199816 0.704516 1.926824 4.371884 8.564862 15.724737
2025-06-22 0.026781 0.191311 0.707331 1.991579 4.606146 9.143900 16.961784
2025-06-29 0.020413 0.169516 0.670321 1.964973 4.665234 9.428821 17.735094
2025-07-06 0.016796 0.158160 0.659884 1.996225 4.836088 9.908990 18.835952
2025-07-13 0.013352 0.145024 0.641437 2.006636 4.965811 10.321572 19.836577
2025-07-20 0.010572 0.133212 0.624358 2.018041 5.097202 10.740412 20.857365
2025-07-27 0.008012 0.119969 0.599527 2.007513 5.182687 11.079950 21.754125